Saturday, 23 February 2013

Final Oscar Predictions

So here we are, just a few days away from the Oscars. Unfortunately I didn't actually see all the nominees for Best Picture this year (I only watched half of Amour because I dislike sad movies about old people, they make me too depressed. And didn't get around to seeing Zero Dark Thirty). However, here I'll be making my final predictions, and I'll update on Monday how well I did!

Best Picture
Will Win: Argo
Could Win: Lincoln
Should Win: Argo

I loved Argo, and I'm so happy it's winning everything. I found Lincoln to be pretty dull (I'm not an American, nor am I interested in history), so I'm stoked Argo is winning. However, the Best Director snub was surprising and shows The Academy liked Lincoln a bit more than Argo (12 noms vs 7). So naming Argo BP seems a bit reactionary to it winning everything else, but if they name something else, The Academy seems out of touch. Either way, I'm rooting for Argo and crossing my fingers for no upset.

Best Director
Will Win: Ang Lee- Life of Pi
Could Win: Steven Spielburg- Lincoln
Should Win: Ben Affleck- Argo. (Kidding, Ang Lee should win).

I'm going to break from most people's predictions and say Ang Lee is going to win. I thought his film was a lot better directed (or a lot more obviously directed, in a good way), than Lincoln. I adored Life of Pi and would love to see it take Best Director since Affleck isn't around to. However, most people are predicting Spielburg for the win, and wouldn't be terribly surprised whatsoever if he did win. I'm still rooting for Lee.

Best Actor
Will Win: Daniel Day-Lewis- Lincoln
Could Win: N/A
Should Win: Daniel Day-Lewis- Lincoln

As much as I would prefer to see Hugh Jackman or Bradley Cooper win (I didn't see Flight or The Master, so I can't comment on Washington or Phoenix), Day-Lewis was truly fantastic as Lincoln, and deserves the win, even if I'd rather see Wolverine take the win.

Best Actress
Will Win: Jennifer Lawrence- Silver Linings Playbook
Could Win: Emmanuelle Rive- Amour
Should Win: Jennifer Lawrence- Silver Linings Playbook

I adored Jen in SLP, and think she is incredibly talented. But Riva's name keeps popping up, and I don't really understand why. But I could totally see the Academy pulling something like this, and getting Riva to win. However, I'm sticking to it and saying Lawrence will win, and give us an awesome acceptance speech.

Best Supporting Actor
Will Win: Tommy Lee Jones- Lincoln
Could Win: Christoph Waltz- Django Unchained, or Robert De Niro- Silver Linings Playbook
Should Win: Christoph Waltz- Django Unchained

This is a tough one to predict. Pretty well all the performances here were fantastic, and each man here already has an Oscar, if not 2. I'm going to predict Jones for the win, because the Academy has love for Lincoln, and it needs to win at least more than 1 Oscar out of it's 12 nominations. However, I'd be very happy if Waltz won, even though he did only a few years ago. But De Niro also wouldn't be surprising. I didn't think much of his performance in SLP, it was nothing to write home about, but he would make a good winner too. But I think Jones will end up with the statue in hand.

Best Supporting Actress
Will Win: Anne Hathaway- Les Miserables
Could Win: N/A
Should Win: Anne Hathaway- Les Miserables

I am fully supportive of Hathaway winning her first Oscar. She was incredibly heartbreaking as Fantine, and she lost a lot of weight and cut her hair the role. The Academy loves when people go to lengths to get into character, and Hathaway doesn't even have a real challenger here in this category.

Best Adapted Screenplay
Will Win: Argo
Could Win: Basically, all the other 4 nominees
Should Win: Argo

I loved Argo, ok?

Best Original Screenplay
Will Win: Django Unchained
Could Win: Zero Dark Thirty or Amour
Should Win: Moonrise Kingdom

Another movie I very much enjoyed. It was quirky, and cute, and random, and I think it should pick up the award here, but sadly it probably won't happen.

Best Animated Feature Film
Will Win: Wreck-It-Ralph
Could Win: Brave
Should Win: I have no idea!

Sadly, the only animated film I've seen of the nominees is Brave, and I wasn't crazy about it, and have heard tons of good things about Wreck It Ralph, Frankenweenie and Paranorman, especially the first. I'm really apathetic in this category.

Best Foreign Language Film
Will Win: Amour
Could Win: N/A
Should Win: No idea!

I haven't seen any of them. Go Canadian film?

Best Cinematography
Will Win: Life of Pi
Could Win: Skyfall
Should Win: Either!

Life of Pi was such a stunning film, and that's mostly due to the wonderful cinematography. At the same time, my favourite part of Skyfall was the cinematography, but Life of Pi was just a smidge better.

Best Film Editing
Will Win: Argo
Could Win: Zero Dark Thirty, Silver Linings Playbook
Should Win: Argo

I don't know much about editing, but I want Argo to win all it can!

Best Original Score
Will Win: Life of Pi
Could Win: Lincoln
Should Win: Anna Karenina or Life of Pi

I really enjoyed the scores for all the films listed. Life of Pi was beautiful, Skyfall was Bondish, but had some great new themes and an Asian twist, Lincoln was classy John Williams, Desplat is my favourite ever so of course Argo was great, and Anna Karenina was just so Russian and beautiful. I'd love to see Marianelli win for AK, or for Desplat to finally win his first Oscar, but looks like Danna is going to swoop and steal if for Pi

Best Original Song
Will Win: Skyfall- Adele
Could Win: Suddenly- Les Miserables
Should Win: Skyfall

Okay, Suddenly doesn't really have a huge chance, but it's the second place. But Skyfall is such a stunning song, it so deserves to win.

Best Sound Mixing
Will Win: Life of Pi
Could Win: Skyfall or Les Miserables
Should Win: No clue!

I have very little knowledge in these sound categories.

Best Sound Editing
Will Win: Life of Pi
Could Win: Skyfall, Zero Dark Thirty
Should Win: No clue!


Best Production Design
Will Win: Anna Karenina
Could Win: Lincoln, Les Miserables
Should Win: Anna Karenina

I enjoyed AK, and it definitely deserves to win here, and in the costume category. And in score.

Best Visual Effects
Will Win: Life of Pi
Could Win: Are you kidding?
Should Win: Life of Pi

This one has absolutely no competition.

Best Costumes
Will Win: Anna Karenina
Could Win: Lincoln
Should Win: Anna Karenina

I'm totally behind AK on this one. The costumes were so lavish and gorgeous.

Best Makeup & Hairstyling
Will Win: The Hobbit: An Unexpected Journey
Could Win: Les Miserables
Should Win: Either of those 2

Hugh Jackman as Jean Valjean in the galleys was incredibly done, and there was some fantastic hairstyling (Helena Bonham-Carter for one), but I think all the dwarves edge this one out a bit, but it could go either way.

And there we have it folks! My predictions! Yes I skipped out on the shorts and documentaries, but I really have no clue in those categories. Good luck to everyone tomorrow night, can't wait to see what the Academy will pull this year in terms of surprises!

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