Sunday, 10 December 2017

Golden Globe Film Nomination Predictions

It's that time of year again! Still three weeks left in the year and we're already getting our first set of big nominations. So far, 2017 has been an interesting year for film. By far, we don't really have any sort of frontrunners (at least for Best Picture), so a number of things could happen. There's also the political climate (including all the assault scandals currently happening) which could make for some interesting narratives. The first set of nominations is always tough, and I feel like my track record here is never too strong as the Globes like to do their own thing every so often so this is always a fun set of nominations.

Best Picture Drama
Call Me By Your Name
Three Billboards Outside Ebbing, Missouri
The Post
The Shape of Water

Could Darkest Hour, Phantom Thread, Mudbound sneak in here? Possibly, but I think these 5 seem the most likely. 

Best Actress (Drama)
Frances McDormand (Three Billboards Outside Ebbing, Missouri)
Meryl Streep (The Post)
Sally Hawkins (The Shape of Water)
Jessica Chastain (Molly's Game)
Jennifer Lawrence (mother!)

Jessica and Jennifer have the benefit of Saoirse Ronan and Margot Robbie being in the Comedy category. We could see someone like Kate Winslet (Wonder Wheel), Gal Gadot (Wonder Woman) or even Julia Roberts (Wonder). However, The Globes really like Jennifer Lawrence so I'd be surprised if she missed here. 

Best Actor (Drama)
Gary Oldman (Darkest Hour)
Daniel Day-Lewis (Phantom Thread)
Timothee Chalamet (Call Me By Your Name)
Tom Hanks (The Post)
Jake Gyllenhaal (Stronger)

To be honest, this could very well be our Oscar lineup and I woudln't be surprised (maybe sub Hanks/Gyllenhaal for James Franco?) but these all seem like good bets. My only question would be Timothee Chalamet who at only 22 years old would make him one of the youngest nominees. Globes are a little less biased against young men in lead categories but I wonder if he could be snubbed. 

Best Film Comedy/Musical
Get Out
Lady Bird 
The Big Sick
I, Tonya
The Disaster Artist

Honestly, The Comedy/Musical lineup seems so much more interesting than the drama this year. Get Out, Lady Bird and the Big Sick are three of my favourite films so far this year. However, I could see Battle of the Sexes, Downsizing, Baby Driver or even Beauty and the Beast sneaking in here. 

Best Actress (Comedy/Musical)
Saoirse Ronan (Lady Bird)
Margot Robbie (I, Tonya)
Emma Stone (Battle of the Sexes)
Emma Watson (Beauty and the Beast)
Allison Williams (Get Out)

Allison Williams is my wild card pick. I debated between Judi Dench for Victoria & Abdul and Zoe Kazan for the Big Sick, but I wonder if the Globes might really like Get Out and could nominate it here. We'll see! 

Best Actor (Comedy/Musical)
James Franco (The Disaster Artist)
Kumail Nanjiani (The Big Sick)
Daniel Kaluuya (Get Out)
Steve Carell (Battle of the Sexes)
Tom Cruise (American Made)

Franco, Nanjiani and Kaluuya should be locked in here but the last 2 spots are a bit more wild. Watch out for Ansel Elgort, Matt Damon or even Adam Sandler here. 

Best Film Supporting Actress
Laurie Metcalf (Lady Bird)
Allison Janney (I, Tonya)
Holly Hunter (The Big Sick
Octavia Spencer (The Shape of Water)
Tiffany Haddish (Girls Trip)

Could Tiffany Haddish be preparing for a Melissa McCarthy in Bridesmaids type of awards run? We'll see! But she did win Supporting Actress with the New York film critics and was nominated at the Critics Choice awards so it's not out of the question. However, watch out for Mary J Blige in Mudbound or Hong Chau for Downsizing

Best Film Supporting Actor
Willem Dafoe (The Florida Project)
Sam Rockwell (Three Billboards Outside Ebbing, Missouri)
Armie Hammer (Call Me By Your Name)
Michael Stuhlbarg (Call Me By Your Name)
Idris Elba (Molly's Game)

Can both supporting men for CMBYN be nominated? That's the big question here. Idris Elba is also a bit of a wild card pick, but entirely possible. Watch out for Mark Rylance (Dunkirk) and Patrick Stewart (Logan)

Best Film Director
Christopher Nolan (Dunkirk)
Guillermo Del Toro (The Shape of Water)
Luca Guadagnino (Call Me By Your Name)
Greta Gerwig (Lady Bird)
Jordan Peele (Get Out)

To be honest, this feels so strongly like a 6 way race to me and I really, really want to see both minorites (Greta, a woman, and Peele, a black man) both getting in here. Nolan seems like a shoo-in for the win, Guadagnino has the critical acclaim, so I was battling between Del Toro and Spielberg for the last slot. I ended up with Del Toro purely because of its 14 BFCA nominations and the higher overall reviews. I could very well be wrong and we see either Peele or Gerwig snubbed here. 

Best Film Screenplay
Call Me By Your Name 
Get Out
Three Billboards Outside Ebbing, Missouri
Lady Bird
The Shape of Water

Watch out for The Big Sick, Molly's Game or The Post here, but this is what really deserves the nominations in my opinion. 

Best Animated Feature
Loving Vincent
The Lego Batman Movie
The Breadwinner 

To be honest, I don't really have clue about this category. However, I'd watch out for Boss Baby or Despicable Me 3. 

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