Final Oscar Predictions

Oscar night has arrived! I know I always say I'm not confident about my picks but this was a tricky year. La La Land has 14 nominations. Will it sweep? Will there be any upsetting La La Land? The technicals were tricky to predict as it didn't seem like a particularly strong year with no obvious candidates, so La La Land may default win a lot of these. I took a risk on a few predictions (Arrival winning Editing, Jackie winning Costumes and Hacksaw/LLL splitting the two sound categories) and we'll see if they pay off!


Best Picture
Will Win: La La Land
Should Win: Arrival

Best Director
Will Win: Damien Chazelle (La La Land)
Should Win: Denis Villeneuve (Arrival)

Best Actress
Will Win: Emma Stone (La La Land)
Should Win: Didn't see enough of the nominees to make a choice

Best Actor
Will Win: Casey Affleck (Manchester By The Sea)
Should Win: Casey Affleck (Manchester By The Sea)

Best Supporting Actress
Will Win: Viola Davis (Fences)
Should Win: Viola Davis (Fences)

Best Supporting Actor
Will Win: Mahershala Ali (Moonlight)
Should Win: Dev? Mahershala? It was a weak field

Best Original Screenplay
Will Win: Manchester By The Sea
Should Win: Hell or High Water or Manchester By The Sea

Best Adapted Screenplay
Will Win: Moonlight
Should Win: Arrival

Best Cinematography
Will Win: La La Land
Should Win: Silence

Best Costume Design
Will Win: Jackie
Should Win: Fantastic Beasts and Where to Find Them

Best Film Editing
Will Win: Arrival
Should Win: Arrival or Hell or High Water

Best Makeup and Hair
Will Win: Suicide Squad
Should Win: ??

Best Production Design
Will Win: La La Land
Should Win: Hail, Caesar!

Best Original Score
Will Win: La La Land
Should Win: La La Land or Moonlight

Best Original Song
Will Win: "City of Stars" (La La Land)
Should Win: City of Stars or How Far I'll Go (Moana)

Best Sound Editing
Will Win: Hacksaw Ridge
Should Win: ?

Best Sound Mixing
Will Win: La La Land
Should Win: ?

Best Visual Effects
Will Win: The Jungle Book
Should Win: The Jungle Book

Best Animated Feature
Will Win: Zootopia
Should Win: Zootopia (though I haven't seen Kubo yet!)

Best Documentary Feature
Will Win: OJ: Made in America

Best Foreign Film
Will Win: The Salesman