What a year it's been! My husband teases me that every year I tell him "this year is the most confusing!" and while I probably do say that at some point every year, I think we can all truly agree this year actually has been the most confusing, and I think we're definitely in store for a somewhat unpredictable evening on Sunday.
With the Oscars only about 24 hours away, I thought it was finally time to post my final predictions. So many of these I'm not confident on at all, but it's always fun to look back and see where I went surprisingly right and surprisingly wrong.
Best Picture
Spotlight
The Big Short
The Revenant
The Martian
Mad Max: Fury Road
Room
Brooklyn
Bridge of Spies
Will Win: The Revenant
Could Win: The Big Short or Spotlight
Should Win: Mad Max:Fury Road/Spotlight/Brooklyn
This is definitely the most difficult prediction. Pretty much all 3 of the frontrunners have some sort of history again them, and all 3 have won major guild awards. But I think I'm going to end up with the Revenant. However, I could be completely wrong, and wouldn't even be surprised. The Revenant just has so much momentum right now, that I see this going all the way.
Best Director
George Miller- Mad Max: Fury Road
Lenny Abrahamson- Room
Tom McCarthy- Spotlight
Alejandro G. Inarritu- The Revenant
Adam McKay- The Big Short
Will Win: Alejandro G. Inarritu (The Revenant)
Could Win: George Miller (Mad Max: Fury Road) or Adam McKay (The Big Short)
Should Win: George Miller (Mad Max: Fury Road)
By and away I feel like George Miller should really be winning this for his totally mad and crazy movie he was able to co-ordinate. However, it doesn't look like that'll happen, and Inarritu will win the first Back to Back director win since Joseph L. Mankiewicz in 1950. Inarritu would as well be a worthy winner, as The Revenant is a beautiful directorial achievement. But in my heart, this belongs to George Miller.
Best Actor
Leonardo DiCaprio- The Revenant
Michael Fassbender- Steve Jobs
Eddie Redmayne- The Danish Girl
Bryan Cranston- Trumbo
Matt Damon- The Martian
Will Win: Leonardo DiCaprio (The Revenant)
Could Win: really!?
Should Win: Leonardo DiCaprio (The Revenant)
This is the biggest lock of the night. No one else is even a competitor this year.
Best Actress
Brie Larson- Room
Cate Blanchett- Carol
Saoirse Ronan- Brooklyn
Jennifer Lawrence- Joy
Charlotte Rampling- 45 Years
Will Win: Brie Larson (Room)
Could Win: Saorise Ronan (Brooklyn)
Should Win: Brie Larson or Saorise Ronan
I personally like Saoirse Ronan's performance a hair better than Brie Larson's, but Brie did also give a fantastic performance and it's a worthy win. Especially since she was snubbed for Short Term 12 a few years back.
Best Supporting Actress
Rooney Mara- Carol
Jennifer Jason Leigh- The Hateful Eight
Kate Winslet- Steve Jobs
Rachel McAdams- Spotlight
Alicia Vikander- The Danish Girl
Will Win: Alicia Vikander (The Danish Girl)
Could Win: Kate Winslet (Steve Jobs)
Should Win: Rooney Mara (Carol)
I really, really enjoyed Rooney Mara in Carol and I'm frustrated that this isn't her year. And we all know Alicia Vikander should really be nominated for Ex Machina. Nevertheless, Alicia Vikander had a smash "debut" year and will likely win here. However, watch out for Kate Winslet, who actually gives a supporting performance.
Best Supporting Actor
Mark Rylance- Bridge of Spies
Sylvester Stallone- Creed
Mark Ruffalo- Spotlight
Christian Bale- The Big Short
Tom Hardy- The Revenant
Will Win: Sylvester Stallone (Creed)
Could Win: Basically anyone, minus Christian Bale
Should Win: Idris Elba (Write in nomination!)
I feel like this is the category with the most potential for an upset. Sly was only nominated at the Globes and was snubbed for BAFTA and SAG, which doesn't look great. However, there hasn't really been a consensus on who else would win, and Stallone got huge love at the Globes, giving him the sentimental win. However, this is Ruffalo's 3rd nomination in 5 years, and if his movie wins Best Picture, he might get swept up. Mark Rylance may win as a consolation prize for Bridge of Spies, and Tom Hardy was nominated here unexpectedly, but shows there is strong support for him and his 2 movies (between which have 22 nominations). But Stallone seems to have the sentimental edge.
Best Original Screenplay
Spotlight
Inside Out
Bridge of Spies
Ex Machina
Straight Outta Compton
Will Win: Spotlight
Could Win: Straight Outta Compton
Should Win: Ex Machina
I really, really want Ex Machina to win here. How cool would that be? Spotlight will likely win here as a consolation prize, but I'd keep a strong eye out for Straight Outta Compton, who could give it a run for it's money.
Best Adapted Screenplay
Brooklyn
The Big Short
Room
Carol
The Martian
Will Win: The Big Short
Could Win: Room
Should Win: Everyone is a deserving nominee here
I do actually find this a pretty strong lineup, so I'd be happy with anyone winning. It's still a shame that Aaron Sorkin was snubbed for Steve Jobs, but The Big Short is likely taking this (also as a consolation)
Best Animated Picture
Inside Out
Anomalisa
Shaun the Sheep Movie
When Marnie Was There
Boy And the World
Will Win: Inside Out
Could Win: Anomalisa
Should Win: Inside Out
Honestly, I've only seen Inside Out, but it's such a sweet picture and Pixar's best in years.
Best Original Score
The Hateful Eight- Ennio Morricone
Star Wars: The Force Awakens- John Williams
Carol- Carter Burwell
Bridge of Spies- Thomas Newman
Sicario-
Will Win: Ennio Morricone (The Hateful Eight)
Could Win: Anyone
Should Win: Carter Burwell (Carol)
Sadly I haven't actually gotten around to listening to any of these scores, outside of watching the movies, so I don't have a strong opinion this year. But I think this may be Morricone's year. However, I'd watch out specifically for Thomas Newman (who has 13 nominations and 0 wins)
Best Original Song
The Hunting Ground- "Til It Happens To You"
Fifty Shades of Grey- "Earned It"
Youth- "Simple Song 3"
Spectre- "Writings On the Wall"
Racing Extinction- "Manta Ray"
Will Win: The Hunting Ground
Could Win: Spectre
Should Win: I don't actually care
I never care about this category, except the year Skyfall was nominated. But Lady Gaga has probably got this.
Best Film Editing
Mad Max: Fury Road
Spotlight
Star Wars: The Force Awakens
The Revenant
The Big Short
Will Win: Mad Max: Fury Road
Could Win: The Big Short
Should Win: Mad Max: Fury Road
Mad Max had some incredible editing, so I'll be incredibly thrilled to see it win here. However, should the Big Short win this, it'll probably also take Best Picture.
Best Cinematography
The Revenant
Mad Max: Fury Road
Carol
Sicario
The Hateful Eight
Will Win: The Revenant
Could Win: Sicario
Should Win: The Revenant or Sicario
Emmanuel Lubezki is probably going to get his back-to-back-to-back of Oscar Wins. However, Roger Deakins (Sicario) is extremely overdue, but Lubezki probably has it in the bag.
Best Costume Design
Cinderella
The Revenant
Carol
The Danish Girl
Mad Max: Fury Road
Will Win: Mad Max: Fury Road
Could Win: Anybody
Should Win: Mad Max: Fury Road
I love the costumes for Mad Max. They're so inventive and it's the only movie where the costumes are based off their own universe, and not a specific time period. The more wins for Mad Max the better!
I love the costumes for Mad Max. They're so inventive and it's the only movie where the costumes are based off their own universe, and not a specific time period. The more wins for Mad Max the better!
Best Makeup and Hairstyling
Mad Max: Fury Road
The Revenant
The 100-year-old Man Who Climbed Out the Window and Disappeared
Will Win: Mad Max: Fury Road
Could Win: The Revenant
Should Win: Mad Max: Fury Road
The war boys alone. Also, Furiosa and that awesome oil on the face look.
The war boys alone. Also, Furiosa and that awesome oil on the face look.
Best Production Design
Mad Max: Fury Road
The Martian
The Revenant
Bridge of Spies
The Danish Girl
Will Win: Mad Max: Fur Road
Could Win: The Revenant
Should Win: Mad Max: Fury Road
Again, Mad Max created it's own universe, and it's absolutely kooky and zany and amazing. This is an award it should have no problem winning.
Again, Mad Max created it's own universe, and it's absolutely kooky and zany and amazing. This is an award it should have no problem winning.
Best Visual Effects
Star Wars: The Force Awakens
Mad Max: Fury Road
The Martian
The Revenant
Ex Machina
Will Win: Star Wars: the Force Awakens
Could Win: Mad Max: Fury Road/The Revenant
Should Win: Mad Max: Fury Road
I'm probably one of the last people to have still not seen Star Wars yet, but it's true. So I can't comment on whether it deserves this win (it probably does), but I love the effects used in Mad Max. However, I don't think Star Wars will be walking away empty handed, and it has so much more "obvious" effects than MM or the Revenant
I'm probably one of the last people to have still not seen Star Wars yet, but it's true. So I can't comment on whether it deserves this win (it probably does), but I love the effects used in Mad Max. However, I don't think Star Wars will be walking away empty handed, and it has so much more "obvious" effects than MM or the Revenant
Best Sound Mixing
Mad Max: Fury Road
The Martian
Star Wars: The Force Awakens
The Revenant
Bridge of Spies
Will Win: The Revenant
Could Win: Mad Max: Fury Road
Should Win: ?
I know the different between mixing and editing, but I don't notice it much at all in movies yet. So I know The Revenant has won several sound awards, so I'm going for this.
I know the different between mixing and editing, but I don't notice it much at all in movies yet. So I know The Revenant has won several sound awards, so I'm going for this.
Best Sound Editing
Mad Max: Fury Road
Sicario
The Martian
The Revenant
Star Wars: The Force Awakens
Will Win: The Revenant
Could Win: Mad Max: Fury Road
Should Win: ?
Honestly, I really want to predict Mad Max to win these sound categories, but the precusor awards have pretty much all been awarded to The Revenant. I may make a last minute switch to Mad Max in this category as this Guild award is only being handed out 24 hours before the Oscars. But I'm sticking with
the Revenant for now.
Honestly, I really want to predict Mad Max to win these sound categories, but the precusor awards have pretty much all been awarded to The Revenant. I may make a last minute switch to Mad Max in this category as this Guild award is only being handed out 24 hours before the Oscars. But I'm sticking with
the Revenant for now.
Best Documentary Feature
Amy
The Look of Silence
Cartel Land
What Happened Miss Simone
Winter On Fire
Will Win: Amy
Could Win: Cartel Land
Best Foreign Language Film
Son of Saul
Mustang
Embrace of the Serpent
Theeb
A War
Will Win: Son of Saul
Could Win: Mustang
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