Oscar Predictions

So apparently the only time I really use this blog any more is to share my predictions now. And up next we have Oscar predictions! Can you believe we're at that time already? This year has been an oddity with the first superhero best picture nominee (Black Panther), a controversial Freddie Mercury biopic directed by an accused sexual predator that didn't even get overly good reviews (Bohemian Rhapsody), a 4th remake of a classic film starring an Oscar-nominated performance from Lady Gaga (A Star Is Born), and Spike Lee's first ever best Director and best Picture nominations. And that doesn't even mention the Kevin Hart-Oscar Host kerfuffle, the anti-Muslim tweets from one of the Green Book writers, the walking back of both the Best Popular Film Category and also the handing out of 4 technical awards during commercial break, by the Academy. Honestly, it's been a weird year and I've been a bit less invested then some. To be honest, there weren't a lot of films I loved so it's been interesting. But regardless, here are my takes on all the Oscar categories on who will win, who could win and who should.

Best Picture
Will Win: Roma
Could Win: Green Book
Should Win: BlacKkKlansman

This one is incredibly tough. Roma is a Spanish-language, black and white Netflix film directed by legendary Alfonso Cuaron. And Green Book is a nice film about racism directed by the guy who also directed Shallow Hal and Dumb and Dumber. So that's something. And honestly, it could go either way. Green Book is the more "popular" win. Bigger box office, won TIFF people's choice award and is a crowd pleaser. And Roma is the "prestigious" win. I think I'm leaning towards Roma. It'd be a neat message to send to have the first Foreign Language film (one set in Mexico nonetheless) to win Best Picture. Personally, my pick would be BlacKkKlansman but that won't happen. However, I wouldn't count out Bohemian Rhapsody (seriously, look at that shocking Globe win), or even Black Panther!

Best Director
Will Win: Alfonso Cuaron (Roma)
Could Win: Spike Lee (BlacKkKlansman)
Should Win: Cuaron or Lee

Honestly, this is Cuaron's for the taking. Nominated for a total of 4 Oscars just for himself, Cuaron produced, wrote, directed, edited and played cinematographer for Roma. The man basically made this movie himself. And not only that but it's good. I don't think anyone really stands a chance here. While it would've been awesome to have Spike Lee win, I don't think there's really any chance.

Best Actress
Will Win: Glenn Close (The Wife)
Could Win: Olivia Colman (The Favourite)
Should Win: Melissa McCarthy (Can You Ever Forgive Me?)

While there was a point in time that Lady Gaga seemed to be the frontrunner, Glenn Close seems to have snatched it. Watch out for Olivia Colman (who won BAFTA). But I would be shocked if Close doesn't win this. Unfortunate, since McCarthy really should be the winner here. She is a revelation in Can You Ever Forgive Me?

Best Actor
Will Win: Rami Malek (Bohemian Rhapsody)
Could Win: Christian Bale (Vice)
Should Win: Bradley Cooper (A Star is Born) or Christian Bale (Vice)

This is one of the tighter of the acting races and even then it doesn't seem too close. Rami Malek has won Globe, SAG and BAFTA, with Bale also winning a Globe. So really, this seems to be Malek's. Personally, I thought Cooper gave a phenomenal performance in A Star is Born and would've liked to see him win here. Bale was also incredible and would've been a deserving winner. But Rami Malek is not an undeserving winner either. It's a well stacked category.

Best Supporting Actress
Will Win: Regina King (If Beale Street Could Talk)
Could Win: Rachel Weisz (The Favourite)
Should Win: Amy Adams (Vice)

Regina King was snubbed at SAG but did win Globe. But she also lost BAFTA to Rachel Weisz in an upset. So it's hardly a lock, but King should be winning it. But seriously watch out for Weisz to take her second win here. Or even maybe Amy Adams will finally get her due and win here for her stunning performance in Vice.

Best Supporting Actor
Will Win: Mahershala Ali (Green Book)
Could Win: Richard E. Grant (Can You Ever Forgive Me?)
Should Win: Richard E. Grant (Can You Ever Forgive Me?)

Ali has been snatching wins left, right and centre. However, he did win just 2 years ago for Moonlight. Will voters think this is too soon? But honestly, odds are he'll take it. He doesn't seem to have much competition. But I have a feeling an upset could happen here.

Best Adapted Screenplay
Will Win: BlacKkKlansman
Could Win: Can You Ever Forgive Me?
Should Win: BlacKkKlansman or Can You Ever Forgive Me?

These are my 2 favourite films of the year so either win would be fantastic in my opinion! BlacKkKlansman is expected to win here but Can You Ever Forgive Me? pulled off an upset win at the WGA's so watch out!

Best Original Screenplay
Will Win: The Favourite
Could Win: Green Book
Should Win: First Reformed

The Favourite seems like the type of film that has often been winning in this category in the last few years. And upset winner at the WGA's, Eighth Grade, isn't nominated. The Favourite is tied for most nominations and I think it's most likely to win here. However, if Green Book is winning Best Picture, this will be your first clue if it wins here. However, it really, really should be Paul Shrader's stunning work for First Reformed winning here (as well as Ethan Hawke in Best Actor, but alas...)

Best Cinematography
Will Win: Roma
Could Win: Cold War
Should Win:  Roma

Roma was shot by director Alfonso Cuaron. He had hoped to work with frequent collaborator and triple-Oscar winner Emmanuel Lubezki but when he was unavailable, Cuaron shot the film himself. And it turned out so, so beautifully. Watch out for Cold War (another foreign language flick), who won at the American Society of Cinematographers (the SAG of Cinematography awards).

Best Costume Design
Will Win: The Favourite
Could Win: Black Panther
Should Win: Black Panther

This category often loves to award period films and the Favourite does have impeccable costumes. However, Black Panther has stunning costumes and are so diverse in style. But I'm leaning towards the more period film to take it here.

Best Film Editing
Will Win: Vice
Could Win: Bohemian Rhapsody
Should Win: Vice

Honestly, this really should be won by First Man (who isn't even nominated), but whatever. Vice really should be the winner of the nominees. Personally, I found the editing in Bohemian Rhapsody lacking so I'll be disappointed if that wins.

Best Makeup and Hairstyling
Will Win: Vice
Could Win: Border
Should Win: Vice

Even though it's always just 3 nominees, it always seems to be a random winner (Suicide Squad, A Man Called Ove, etc). So while Vice seems like the most wildly obvious and deserving, I can't help but wonder if Border (a film I hadn't heard of) will take it just because.

Best Production Design
Will Win: Black Panther
Could Win: The Favourite
Should Win: Really, any of the nominees are deserving

Seriously, all of the nominees had wonderful production design and I'd be happy with any. However, I think the level of detail and the merging of African culture and newer sci-fi/superhero designs were really beautiful and well woven together that I think it'll win here. Again, period films often win here but the Academy did also very much like Black Panther and I think this would be a deserving win.

Best Original Score
Will Win: If Beale Street Could Talk
Could Win: Black Panther
Should Win: If Beale Street Could Talk or Black Panther

Honestly, I love both of those scores. Nicolas Britell's work is so, so stunning and beautiful for Beale Street. As well, Ludwig Goransson did incredible work for Black Panther. Either would be deserving wins since, again, First Man was not nominated here.

Best Original Song
Will Win: Shallow (A Star is Born)
Could Win: Seriously, it'll be Shallow
Should Win: Like, for real, Shallow is winning.

Must I say more?

Best Sound Editing
Will Win: A Quiet Place
Could Win: First Man

I'd like to see First Man win but think A Quiet Place is picking it up here.

Best Sound Mixing
Will Win: Bohemian Rhapsody
Could Win: A Star Is Born

This movie frequently goes to musicals and I give Bohemian Rhapsody (a movie with countless, countless concert footage and concert/montage footage) the edge here.

Best Visual Effects
Will Win: Ready Player One
Could Win: Avengers: Infinity War
Should Win: Ready Player One

Fun fact: a superhero film hasn't won this category since Spider-Man 2 in 2004. And as far as my research can show, it's the only that has ever won competitively (Superman won it but it was a "Special Achievement" award so there weren't other nominees). So honestly, I think the curse will continue. I made a very last minute change as I had been predicting First Man for a long time. But I don't know, I just have a feeling about Ready Player One. It's a lot more effects heavy (it's really just the last half hour-40 minutes in space in First Man) and it is a Spielberg pic. So honestly, who knows! The last few years have seemed to have us in for surprises so we'll see!

Best Animated Feature
Will Win: Spider-Man: Into the Spider-Verse
Could Win: Incredibles 2

I honestly haven't seen Spider-Man yet so I can't comment, but this has taken over the internet by storm so I don't see it losing.

Best Documentary
Will Win: Free Solo
Could Win: RBG

From what I've heard it's a pretty close race between these two, and also Minding the Gap. But I think Free Solo takes it?

Best Foreign Language Film
Will Win: Roma
Could Win: Roma
Should Win: Roma

Seriously, it'll be Roma.

Best Animated Short
Will Win: Bao
Could Win: the Weekend

Best Documentary Short
Will Win: Black Sheep
Could Win: Period. End of Sentance

Best Live Action Short
Will Win: Marguerite
Could Win: Skin

Golden Globe Predictions

2019 Golden Globe Film Winner Predictions

It's that time of year! First Sunday of the New Year and we are kick-starting right in to Awards Season! Here are my predictions below!

Best Film Drama
Will Win: BlacKkKlansman
Could Win: A Star is Born

Honestly, I'm going out on a bit of a limb here, but I think everyone is underestimating Blackkklansman. It's by Spike Lee who is a legend, is timely/topical and over-performed here by having both John David Washington and Adam Driver nominated in their respective acting categories. A Star Is Born is definitely the showier movie that no one expected from first-time Director Bradley Cooper but it is definitely well loved.

Best Actress (Drama)
Will Win: Lady Gaga (A Star Is Born)
Could Win: Glenn Close (The Wife)

Lady Gaga probably has this but look out for Glenn Close or even Melissa McCarthy who gives such a stellar performance in Can You Ever Forgive Me? But Lady Gaga should have this one

Best Actor (Drama)
Will Win: Bradley Cooper (A Star Is Born)
Could Win: Rami Malek (Bohemian Rhapsody)

This one is a toss up. It could really go either way. Bohemian Rhapsody has been clearly very loved (it also got a Best Picture nomination here, a SAG ensemble nomination and a PGA nomination) so I wouldn't be surprised if Malek wins. While I haven't seen Bohemian Rhapsody yet, personally I thought Bradley Cooper was fantastic in ASIB and would be quite happy if he won.

Best Film Comedy/Musical
Will Win: Green Book
Could Win: Vice or The Favourite

Green Book is the mainstream, crowd-pleaser. Vice has the most total nominations of all films and is divisive (but those who love it, LOVE it), and The Favourite is the artsy pick. I expect Green Book to win here but would really love to see Vice take it.

Best Actress Comedy/Musical
Will Win: Olivia Colman (The Favourite)
Could Win: Emily Blunt (Mary Poppins Returns)

Honestly, I haven't seen either so, who knows! I expect Colman to win this though.

Best Actor Comedy/Musical
Will Win: Christian Bale (Vice)
Could Win: Viggo Mortensen (Green Book)

Again, a bit of a toss up but Christian Bale having a slight edge. Personally, both were fantastic in their roles and either would be a good win. But I was overall meh on Green Book as a whole and would love to see Vice win.

Best Film Supporting Actress
Will Win: Regina King (If Beale Street Could Talk)
Could Win: Amy Adams (Vice)

The Golden Globes loooove Amy Adams (she is double nomianted this year and has 2 previous wins and 7 nominations prior to this year) so she could very well take it. But Regina King is the critics favourite and has been winning lots of smaller awards so far already this year.

Best Film Supporting Actor
Will Win: Timothee Chalamet (Beautiful Boy)
Could Win: Mahershala Ali (Green Book) or Richard E Grant (Can You Ever Forgive Me?)

Honestly, I feel like pretty much anyone could win this category this year. Really, don't count out anyone. Personally, I'm going on a bit of a limb and predicting Timothee Chalamet. Yes, he's young and fresh to Hollywood but he has been making waves, and not just with young girls on the internet. He really is an acting force to be reckoned with and him receiving a nomination this year after being nominated last year as well says the HFPA does like him. However, Mahershala Ali did not win a Golden Globe the year he won his Oscar so the HFPA may want to give a "makeup" Globe here. However, Richard E Grant is also fantastic and has been winning a lot of critics awards. It's a three dog race here. This will be the more surprising category to watch out for.

Best Film Director
Will Win: Alfonso Cuaron (Roma)
Could Win: Spike Lee (BlacKkKlansman)

Alfonso Cuaron is far and away the favourite to win here, having been racking up all sorts of film festival and critics awards. But you never know, Spike Lee could upset here for Blackkklansman. Or even Bradley Cooper if he doesn't win Actor but does win Picture. Lots of possibilities!

Best Film Screenplay 
Will Win: The Favourite
Could Win: Vice

Battle of the comedies here! But expect The Favourite to take it. The Globes love spreading the love to everyone.

Best Animated Feature
Will Win: Spider-Man: Into the Spider-verse
Could Win: Isle of Dogs

Spider-Man has been making waves as a fantastic superhero and animated film. But never really count out Wes Anderson (or Pixar for that matter! Incredibles 2 could also win)

Best Score
Will Win: Mary Poppins Returns
Could Win: Black Panther

Best Song
Will Win: "Shallow" (A Star Is Born)
Could Win: "All The Stars" (Black Panther)

Best Foreign Language Film
Will Win: Roma
Could Win: Really? No one else will win. It's Roma. Go see it on Netflix, it's fantastic.

Top 10 Films of 2017

Once again, now that we're almost halfway through 2018, I've finally mainly caught up on seeing a lot of great films from 2017. Granted, there's still a few I haven't seen (Phantom Thread for example) but I feel I can finally put together my top 10 list! To be honest, there wasn't a whole lot of movies I was passionate aboout this year. I had a small handful of films I loved and most others I was somewhat apathetic about, which is unusual for me. However, I have put together a list of 10 films I really liked and my top 4 that have really resounded with me this year.

10. I, Tonya
I, Tonya chose the perfect format to tell it's story, beginning with the preface that it is based on "irony-free, wildly contradictory, totally true interviews". It really sets the stage for how this story will be told and how seriously we should take it. However, Margot Robbie still gives a career-making performance, one that will probably be remembered for a long time as one of her best. Glib, snarky and smart, I, Tonya is a ride.

9. Blade Runner 2049

It's not so much that I loved Blade Runner itself. It's more that Denis Villeneuve is a fab director and I knew he would deliver something special. And here he created a film that I have no idea how it was able to get made because it's so not mainstream but its beautiful and fabulous anyway. Ryan Gosling gives a shattering performance and Villeneuve brings sci-fi to even higher levels. I couldn't stop thinking about this movie for days.

8. The Disaster Artist

It was a shame when the stuff about James Franco came out because I had already seen The Disaster Artist and was sold on this film. It's hilarious and heartbreaking and James Franco was incredible as Tommy Wiseau. It's wacky and a true story and I really, really enjoyed it.

7. Three Billboards Outside Ebbing, Missouri.

What a perfect year for this film to come out. It seems to be the encapsulation of the atmosphere of the end of 2017 and the beginning of 2018. Anger. And female anger. Frances McDormand blows it out of the park here. It's really a film to chew on (though not perfect at all) but is an angry film that perfectly defines what's currently going on.

6. Baby Driver

It's an action-thriller-musical? It's a tricky one to describe because it both is and definitely isn't a musical but I'm not sure why no one has made a movie quite like this yet. Action sequences perfectly synched up to great music is where it's at! I found the film less engaging in the second half when it departed from that a bit but this film is charming and should really solidify Jon Hamm as a movie star.

5. The Big Sick

I'm a sucker for a really, really good comedy/rom-com and The Big Sick is one of the best. It's just a really feel-good film and actually stars someone who isn't white?? And he's playing himself? So cool! Kumail Nanjiani is a new favourite and I've always loved Zoe Kazan.

4. Call Me By Your Name

I'll admit that the main draw to this film was the original music by Sufjan Stevens. I've been a fan of his for 10 years and was so excited for his music. But the movie itself enchanted me. It's warm and pretty and just makes you feel good. Timothee Chalamet is astonishing in this and is going to go on to have an incredible career. Also, the Sufjan music is magic as well.

3. Dunkirk

I'm a big Chris Nolan fan and was eager to see his foray into war films. Dunkirk feels so different from any Chris Nolan movie, but also is very much a Chris Nolan movie. It's so grand in scale, epic in action and beautifully shot. Tom Hardy is my personal favourite storyline of the piece but it all works together so well.

2. Get Out

A year ago I watched this movie on a plane because I'd been hearing all about it for months but was scared to watch this scary movie. Immediately I understood the hype and knew I had watched something special, something that would be dissected for years to come. Get Out is 100% worth your time, even if you don't like scary movies. Seriously, if you haven't watched it by now, do yourself a favour and watch it!

1. Lady Bird

I don't know what I can say about Lady Bird that hasn't already been said. It's incredibly real and relateable and fresh. Saoirse Ronan proves that she is already, at 23, going down as an all-time great as she completely owns the role of Lady Bird. And Greta Gerwig smashes it out of the gate with her directorial debut. I'm not sure what makes Lady Bird so great but it's just so real. By far my favourite film of the  year.

Oscar Predictions

It's that time of year again! It's come up so fast that I feel like I'm almost throwing these together last minute. However, while I haven't kept up with guild awards as much as usual, I've still had a lot of time to ponder who I think will win and the stats into the probability. It's tricky business, sometimes. What felt like it would be an unpredictable year has turned into the only unpredictable category being Best Picture. Director and all 4 acting awards have swept through awards seasons untouched, which is nearly unheard of. So should we expect an upset? Maybe, but I wouldn't count on it. However, Best Picture is a much trickier thing. Basically every movie nominated you can make a case why it won't win. None of these movies have the stats on their side. Whoever wins will be breaking some sort of very strong statistic. The Shape of Water was not nominated for SAG Ensemble (which La La Land didn't receive last year either and didn't end up winning). Three Billboards was snubbed in the Best Director category. Get Out has only 4 nominations and failed to pick up an Editing nomination. Blah, blah, blah. However, since last year happened, I think we know that things can get unpredictable very quickly.

Best Picture
Will Win: Three Billboards Outside Ebbing, Missouri
Could Win: Get Out
Should Win: Lady Bird or Get Out

So I was predicting an upset with Get Out winning here up until today (Thursday). I still think there’s a strong possibility it’ll happen, but I just don’t have any stats or facts to back me up (Moonlight at least won Best drama at the Globes last year and Get Out has no major wins). So I think this is going to go to Three Billboards. It’s also a timely and important film about justice. Especially with #metoo happening, this should prevail over The Shape Of Water which, in the end, is just a love story. However I’d still watch out for Get Out and think that’s the major underdog here.

Best Director
Will Win: Guillermo Del Toro
Could Win: Jordan Peele/Christopher Nolan
Should Win: Greta Gerwig or Jordan Peele or Chris Nolan

And for the 3rd year in a row, and the 5th time so far this decade, I’m predicting Best Picture and Director will be split. Del Toro has swept this season and I don’t see a reason why it won’t at the Oscars as well.

Best Actress
Will Win: Frances McDormand
Could Win: Saoirse Ronan
Should Win: Saoirse Ronan

She's swept all the major awards this season so I don't foresee an upset happening here. Though if it did, I'd love if it were Saoirse Ronan or Margot Robbie

Best Actor
Will Win: Gary Oldman
Could Win: Timothee Chalamet
Should Win: Timothee Chalamet

Timothee Chalamet is only is just 22 years old but gave my favourite male lead performance this year. Combined with an excellent small supporting role in Lady Bird, Chalamet is one to watch out for. However, this doesn't appear to be his year. Gary Oldman has the baity role (along with makeup and transformation that the Academy eats up). However, if there was to be an upset, which I doubt there will be, watch out for young Timothee Chalamet!

Best Supporting Actress
Will Win: Allison Janney
Could Win: Laurie Metcalf
Should Win: Allison or Laurie

Allison Janney is an acting veteran but somehow this is her very first nomination! How??? Anyway, she's also swept this season and I don't think she'll get upset. Laurie Metcalf was also fab in Lady Bird but Janney was a powerhouse.

Best Supporting Actor
Will Win: Sam Rockwell
Could Win: Christopher Plummer
Should Win: Sam Rockwell

Could Christopher Plummer, the man who took over Kevin Spacey's role in this film, win an Oscar? Even just so the Academy can stick it to sexual predators? It's entirely possible! However, Sam Rockwell is bound to win here like he (and the other 3 acting winners) has all season.

Best Adapted Screenplay
Will Win: Call Me By Your Name
Could Win: Logan? mud bound?
Should Win: Call Me By your Name

Honestly, I don't think Call Me By Your Name has a lot of competition here. Logan was a great surprise and it'd be a worthy winner, as would the screenplay for the Disaster Artist, but Call Me By Your Name is up for Best Picture and it's screenplay was beautiful. Expect it to win.

Best Original Screenplay
Will Win: Get Out
Could Win: 3 Billboards or Lady Bird
Should Win: Get Out or Lady Bird

This one is extremely tough and could go a few different ways! Get Out seems the most "original idea" of the screenplays and is excellently written. However, 3 Billboards is a frontrunner and picked up the award at the Globes. Picture and Screenplay often go hand in hand. And if the Shape of Water wins Best Picture, it could upset here. But also don't discount Greta Gerwig's screenplay for Lady Bird. It'd be wonderful to see a female winner here, in a movie directed by and starring women. However, I think Get Out has it but I'm not 100% on that.

Best Cinematography
Will Win: Blade Runner 2049
Could Win: Dunkirk or The Shape of Water
Should Win: Blade Runner 2049

I read an interesting statistic about Best Cinematography. Best Director and Best Cinematography have gone to the same movie the last 5 years in a row, all for large technical films. However, Roger Deakins, the cinematographer for Blade Runner 2049 has 14 nominations and no wins! And this may actually be some of his best work. I've been predicting The Shape of Water for a while now but I think it may just be Deakins year... finally!

Best Costume Design
Will Win: Phantom Thread
Could Win: Beauty and the Beast
Should Win: Phantom Thread

Honestly, is Phantom Thread really about anything other than clothes and costumes? But actually, the clothing is stunning in that film. However, fantasty costume films have done well in the past here so watch out for Beauty and the Beast

Best Editing
Will Win: Baby driver
Could Win: Dunkirk
Should Win: Baby Driver or Dunkirk

It's Baby Driver vs Dunkirk. War movies do excellently in this category (see Hacksaw Ridge winning here last year), however Baby Driver has some excellent sharp editing similar to Whiplash. Dunkirk is the favourite, but Baby Driver did pick up the Editing award at BAFTA, which has predicted the last few editing winners (incuding the slight surprise win for Whiplash). I'm going out on a small limb here and say Baby Driver takes it.

Best Makeup and Hairstyling 
Will Win: Darkest Hour
Could Win: Wonder
Should Win: Any of them? There's only three!

Considering makeup is basically how Gary Oldman is winning an Oscar this year, I say Darkest Hour takes it. Though don't be surprised if Wonder pulls through.

Best Production Design
Will Win: The Shape of Water
Could Win: Blade Runner 2049
Should Win: Blade Runner 2049

The Production design for Blade Runner 2049 was stunning. Please win!!!

Best Original Score
Will Win: Alexandre Desplat (The Shape of Water)
Could Win: Phantom Thread or Dunkirk
Will Win: The Shape of Water

Alexandre Desplat is going to win a second Oscar before Hans Zimmer does? Call him the new master of music! Desplat is one of my favourite composers and while I didn't really like the Shape of Water, his music was sublime for it.

Best Original Song
Will Win: "This Is Me" (The Greatest Showman)
Could Win: "Remember Me" (Coco)
Should Win: Mystery of Love (Call My By Your Name)

Really, as much as I love Mystery of Love, it really should've been Visions of Gideon nominated here. Either way, I'm just so excited Sufjan Stevens is an Oscar nominee! Anyway, you could make a case for literally any of these songs to win. However, The Greatest Showman is a big hit, has massive streaming numbers on Spotify and I think will win. Disney often does well here, but I think this will go to The Greatest Showman.

Best Sound Editing
Will Win: Dunkirk
Could Win: Baby Driver or Dunkirk
Should Win: Dunkirk

Another category where war films do well. And the sound creation (yes, that's what sound editing is, more or less) for this film was really great. But don't count out Baby Driver!

Best Sound Mixing
Will Win: Baby Driver
Could Win: Dunkirk
Should Win: Baby Driver

War movies can also do well here but Chris Nolan (Dunkirk) often gets complaints that his movies are "hard to heard the dialogue" and are very "loud". I don't necessarily disagree. As well, musical often do well  here and while Baby Driver isn't a classical musical, it's use of music is well done and I think it could earn it a win here.

Best Visual Effects
Will Win: Blade Runner 2049
Could Win: War For the Planet Of The Apes
Should Win: Apes or Blade Runner 2049

The rebooted Planet of the Apes films have never done well here. They keep getting nominated, are continually the frontrunner, but ultimately don't win, despite how innovative their VFX are! As well, this often goes to more awardsy fair and while Blade Runner wasn't nominated in any top level categories, it's definitely the more prestige of the two (5 nominations vs 1)

Best Animated Feature
Will Win: Coco
Could Win: The Breadwinner
Should Win: The Boss Baby.... JK!!!! It should be Coco

Best Documentary Feature
Will Win: Icarus
Could Win: Faces Places or Last Man In Aleppo

Best Foreign Language Film
Will Win: A Fantastic Woman
Could Win: The Square

Best Animated Short
Will Win: Dear Basketball
Could Win: Garden Party

Best Documentary Short
Will Win: Edith+Eddie
Could Win: Heaven Is a Traffic Jam on the 405

Best Live Action Short
Will Win: DeKalb Elementary
Could Win: The Silent Child

Black Panther

Black Panther, 2018
Directed by Ryan Coogler

Black Panther marks the first solo outing of a non-white Marvel superhero. After making his debut in Captain America: Civil War, we finally see the origin story of T’Challa and his country of Wakanda. Marvel movies aren’t really my thing and I have a very small handful of them that I even like. However, having Ryan Coogler directing was enough to pique my interest and have me genuinely excited for this film. And let me tell you, it does not disappoint!

My big complaint about Marvel movies is they often want to have “very serious” stories while at the same time still have humour and I personally don’t often feel like they strike the right balance. And often what they try to be serious about is a very lame villain. However, Black Panther is a serious film but it’s correct in what it’s serious about, and that story is very nuanced. T’Challa witnessed his fathers (the King of Wakanda) death in captain American and now in this film he is seeing himself take over that role as king. Wakanda is an extremely technologically advanced country in Africa. They are at the forefront of technology because of the substance Vibranium that they’re able to mine. However, since their formation, Wakanda has not shared this technology and has put on the facade of being another third world African country, only helping when need be. So when Eric Killmonger comes along, he plans to challenge T’Challa for the throne and change Wakanda. I feel that’s about all I can say without spoiling too much. But this movie is about the struggle of a man becoming a king and the responsibilities on him.  How to keep the country functioning but how to change with the times.

Ryan Coogler, only 31 years old, has been making waves in the film scene for years. He brings incredible vision and energy to this film. This film is incredibly political and really tries to engage in the conversations the world is having about the treatment of black people globally, but mainly what’s happening in the US. But it’s also incredibly black in its depiction of the Wakanda culture, but also in overall feel for the film. And another’s I thing I need to praise this movie for us it’s treatment of its women! We have at least three major female characters in this film and all of them are incredible badasses. And all three of them in very different ways! And that doesn’t even include the minor roles of other women in the film. There is a tribe of warrior women in Wakanda, and T’Challa is constantly around strong women. Women may actually outnumber (or at least match) the amount of male characters. Women are seen as warriors, as caregivers, as a Q-like Bond character, as scientists and as Queens. The depiction of everyone in this film is complex and so fully realized. Even it’s villain actually gets to be nuanced and complex. By far one of Marvels most interesting villains.

Black Panther is a film well-worth supprtoing. It’s incredibly made and it finally tells of a non-white, non-Western hero. And I think this is something the world has really been waiting for. ANd Ryan Coogler delivered the movie this story deserves.

9/10

Oscar Nomination Predictions

Holy shoot, it's that time of year again. How did this happen? This year, Oscar nominations come out the morning of my birthday so I will probably just be spending that day freaking out about the snubs and surprises that are definitely due to come. This year has been unique that frontrunners haven't really emerged in terms of Best Picture yet (the acting categories seem to have solidified themselves barring some huge snubs) so the race is still pretty wide open. I'm predicting 8 nominees for BP but I could see it being only 6, but we could also finally get a full 10 this year as well.

Best Picture 
Lady Bird
Three Billboards Outside Ebbing Missouri
Get Out
The Shape of Water
Dunkirk
The Post
Call Me By Your Name
I, Tonya

Best Director 
Greta Gerwig- Lady Bird
Jordan Peele- Get Out
Martin McDonagh- Three Billboards Outside Ebbing, Missouri
Christopher Nolan- Dunkirk
Guillermo Del Toro- The Shape of Water

Best Actor
Timothee Chalamet- Call Me By Your Name
Gary Oldman- Darkest Hour
Daniel Kaluuya- Get Out
James Franco- The Disaster Artist
Daniel Day-Lewis- Phantom Thread

Best Actress
Saoirse Ronan- Lady Bird
Frances McDormand- Three Billboards Outside Ebbing, Missouri
Sally Hawkins- The Shape of Water
Margot Robbie- I, Tonya
Meryl Streep- The Post

Best Supporting Actor
Sam Rockwell- Three Billboards Outside Ebbing, Missouri
Willem Dafoe- The Florida Project
Christopher Plummer- All the Money In The World
Armie Hammer- Call Me By Your Name
Richard Jenkins- The Shape of Water

Best Supporting Actress
Laurie Metcalf- Lady Bird
Allison Janney- I, Tonya
Holly Hunter- The Big Sick
Hong Chau- Downsizing
Octavia Spencer- The Shape of Water

Best Adapted Screenplay
Call Me By Your Name
Molly's Game
The Disaster Artist
Mudbound
Logan

Best Original Screenplay
Get Out
Lady Bird
Three Billboards Outside Ebbing, Missouri
The Shape of Water
The Big Sick

Best Cinematography 
Blade Runner 2049
Dunkirk
The Shape of Water
Call Me By Your Name
Darkest Hour

Best Costume Design 
Phantom Thread
Beauty and the Beast
The Shape of Water
Murder on the Orient Express
The Greatest Showman

Best Editing 
Dunkirk
Baby Driver
The Shape of Water
Get Out
Three Billboards Outside Ebbing, Missouri

Best Makeup and Hairstyling 
Darkest Hour
Woner
I, Tonya

Best Original Score
The Shape of Water (Alexandre Desplat)
The Post (John Williams)
Dunkirk (Hans Zimmer)
Phantom Thread (Johnny Greenwood)
Blade Runner 2049 (Hans Zimmer and Benjamin Wallfisch)

Best Original Song
Remember Me (Coco)
The Mystery Of Love (Call Me By Your Name)
This Is Me (The Greatest Showman)
Evermore (Beauty and the Beast)
Prayers for this World (Cries from Syria)

Best Production Design 
The Shape of Water
Blade Runner 2049
Dunkirk
Beauty and the Beast
Murder on the Orient Express

Best Sound Editing 
Blade Runner 2049
Dunkirk
Baby Driver
War For the Planet of the Apes
The Shape of Water

Best Sound Mixing
Blade Runner
Dunkirk
Baby Driver
War For the Planet of the Apes
The Shape of Water

Best Visual Effects
Blade Runner 2049
Dunkirk
War For the Planet of the Apes
Star Wars: The Last Jedi
The Shape of Water

Best Animated Film
Coco
Loving Vincent
The Bread Winner
Ferdinand
In This Corner of the World

Best Foreign Language Film
The Square
In The Fade
Foxtrot
Loveless
A Fantastic Woman

Best Documentary
Icarus
Jane
Faces Places
City of Ghosts
Strong Island

Best Short Subject Documentary
Alone
Ten Meter Tower
Heroin(e)
Edith+Eddie
Heaven Is A Traffic Jam on the 405

Best Animated Short Film
In A Heartbeat
Dear Basketball
Lou
Negative Space
Cradle

Best Live Action Short Film
DeKalb Elementary
Watu Wote/All Of Us
The Silent Child
Icebox
The Eleven O'Clock

Golden Globe Film Predictions

We're already here! The first awards show of the season. And as usual, the Globes are always a really tricky one to predict. They often go their own way in terms of winners (The Revenant over Spotlight, The Social Network over the King's Speech, etc). And this year seems to be especially murky. We don't have clear frontrunners in very many categories at all. The Shape of Water leads nominations, so will it win a bunch of those? Or will Three Billboards or the Post snug some? It's a tough one, but here are my predictions.

Best Picture (Drama)
Three Billboards Outside Ebbing, Missouri
Call Me By Your Name
Dunkirk
The Shape of Water
The Post

Will Win: The Shape of Water
Could Win: The Post or Three Billboards
Should Win: Dunkirk/3 Billboards

The Shape of Water leads nominations and it seems like the type of film the HFPA would favour. However, I would still watch out for almost any of these films. But especially the Post and Three Billboards. Both have quite timely themes so if the HFPA wanted to go with some sort of narrative, they could with either of those 2.

Best Actor (Drama)
Timothee Chalamet (Call Me By Your Name)
Daniel Day-Lewis (Phantom Thread)
Tom Hanks (The Post)
Denzel Washington (Roman J. Israel Esq.)
Gary Oldman (Darkest Hour)

Will Win: Gary Oldman
Could Win: Timothee Chalamet
Should Win: ?

I haven't seen any of these movies yet so don't have an opinion on who should win. Gary Oldman seems the likely winner here, playing a beloved historial figure. However, we thought this about Natalie Portman last year and look how that turned out. I'd watch closest for Timothee Chalamet.

Best Actress (Drama)
Sally Hawkins (The Shape of Water)
Meryl Streep (The Post)
Frances McDormand (Three Billboards Outside Ebbing, Missouri)
Jessica Chastain (Molly's Game)
Michelle Williams (All The Money In The World)

Will Win: Sally Hawkins
Could Win: Frances McDormand
Should Win: ?

So far, I've only see Molly's Game and while I'd be happy if Chastain won, it isn't going to happen. Frances McDormand is probably considered the frontrunner here, but I'm going with Hawkins. Given the amount of nominations, I think the HFPA will really love the Shape of Water.

Best Picture (Comedy/Musical)
Get Out
Lady Bird
I, Tonya
The Disaster Artist
The Greatest Showman

Will Win: Lady Bird
Could Win: Get Out
Should Win: Lady Bird

I loved Get Out, Lady Bird and The Disaster Artist (all in my top 5 films this year so far) but I think this one should be Lady Birds. Directed by a female, written by a female and starring women, I think that narrative alone wins the category. However, this film is GOOD so it's not an unfair win. However, look out for Get Out!

Best Actor (Comedy/Musical)
Daniel Kaluuya (Get Out)
James Franco (the Disaster Artist)
Steve Carell (Battle of the Sexes)
Ansel Elgort (Baby Driver)
Hugh Jackman (The Greatest Showman)

Will Win: James Franco
Could Win: Daniel Kaluuya
Should Win: James Franco

Honesty, Daniel Kaluuya (great as he was) feels like a distant second. This should (deservedly) be Francos, no problem.

Best Actress (Comedy Musical)
Saoirse Ronan (Lady Bird)
Margot Robbie (I, Tonya)
Judi Dench (Victoria & Abdul)
Emma Stone (Battle of the Sexes)
Helen Mirren (The Leisure Seekers)

Will Win: Saoirse Ronan
Could Win: Margot Robbie
Should Win: Saoirse Ronan

I mean, it'd be crazy if Saoirse didn't win, but I could see Margot Robbie winning here. Her film doesn't seem like the Academy's cup of tea, but I could see it going over well here.

Best Supporting Actor
Christopher Plummer (All The Money In The World)
Armie Hammer (Call Me By Your Name)
Sam Rockwell (Three Billboards Outside Ebbing, Missouri)
Richard Jenkins (The Shape of Water)
Willem Dafoe (The Florida Project)

Will Win: Sam Rockwell
Could Win: Christopher Plummer or Willem Dafoe
Should Win: ?

Word on the street is the HFPA loooves Three Billboards. I was split on predicting Frances McDormand for the Best Actress win but I think this is the easiest way to reward a film they love. However, watch for Willem Dafoe (Oscar frontrunner) or Christopher Plummer (surprise nominee)

Best Supporting Actress
Allison Janney (I, Tonya)
Laurie Metcalf (Lady Bird)
Mary J. Blige (Mudbound)
Hong Chau (Downsizing)
Octavia Spencer (The Shape of Water)

Will Win: Allison Janney (I, Tonya)
Could Win: Laurie Metcalf
Should Win: Janney or Metcalf

I'm predicting Best Actress and Best Supporting Actress will be split between Lady Bird and I, Tonya. So this could very well be Margot Robbie and Laurie Metcalf winning, but I fee it'll be Saoirse Ronan and Allison Janney. Athough any combination of these ladies would be fantastic wins.

Best Director
Guillermo Del Toro (The Shape of Water)
Steven Spielberg (The Post)
Christopher Nolan (Dunkirk)
Martin McDonagh (Three Billboards Outside Ebbing, Missouri)
Ridley Scott (All the Money In The World)

Will Win: Guillermo Del Toro
Could Win: Christopher Nolan
Should Win: Christopher Nolan

Since Greta Gerwig and Jordan Peele were snubbed, I really, really want Chris Nolan to win here. However, I continue to predict the HFPA going head over heels for the Shape of Water and also awarding it Best Director. However, there have been a lot of split winners in the past years so we'll see!

Best Screenplay
Lady Bird
The Shape of Water
Molly's Game
The Post
Three Billboards Outside Ebbing, Missouri

Will Win: Lady Bird
Could Win: The Shape of Water
Should Win: Lady Bird

Please, PLEASE let Greta Gerwig win a Globe! (And then an Oscar!)

Best Animated Feature
Coco
Loving Vincent
The Boss Baby
The Breadwinner
Ferdinand

Will Win: Coco
Could Win: Loving Vincent?
Should Win: ?

I was kicking myself the morning nominations came out because I had removed Boss Baby from the predictions the night before. Oh well. This should be Coco's, no problem.

Best Foreign Film
First They Killed My Father
The Square
In the Fade
A Fantastic Woman
Loveless

Will Win: First they Killed My Father
Could Win: The Square

Sadly, I haven't seen any of these but I think they'll award this to Angie's film.

Best Original Score
Dunkirk
The Shape of Water
Phantom Thread
The Post
Three Billboards Outside Ebbing, Missouri

Will Win: Dunkirk
Could Win: The Shape of Water
Should Win: Dunkirk

Hans Zimmer vs. Alexandre Desplat vs John Williams vs Johnny Greenwood vs Carter Burwell. But seriously, Zimmer vs Desplat vs Williams. All master composers. I'm leaning towards Dunkirk for the win but could easily see Desplat taking it for The Shape of Water

Best Original Song
Remember Me (Coco)
This is Me (The Greatest Showman)
Mighty River (Mudbound)
Home (Ferdinand)
The Star (The Star)

Will Win: Remember Me (Coco)
Could Win: This Is Me (The Greatest Showman)

Still not over the egregious snub of Sufjan Stevens for his song Mystery of Love from Call Me By Your Name. Stevens is an all-time favourite artist of mine and I'm still salty he was snubbed here. But really, Coco will probably win but there have been some wild winners over the years.

Molly's Game

Molly's Game, 2017
Directed by Aaron Sorkin

I have to say, I'm a pretty big Sorkin fan. I mean, I still haven't gotten around to seeing The West Wing (I know, I know), but I've been a huge fan of his movies and his TV show The Newsroom. I love the wordiness of his scripts and the intelligence of them. You can tell Sorkin really gets into the subject of his material. And the same is true for his directorial debut, which he also wrote.

Molly's Game is the story of an Olympic class skier turned office assistant/waitress turned runner of high stakes poker games. Molly Bloom is arrested by the FBI several years after she finished running the games and now the government wants her to spill the secrets on the players (who she won't name). Her players included Hollywood A-listers, sports stars, business men and members of the Russian Mob.

I was really eager though a little cautious when I heard Jessica Chastain would be starring in Aaron Sorkin's directorial debut. I mean, if there was anyone who could handle a Sorkin script, it'd be Jessica Chastain. I was just slightly nervous about Sorkin going into directing. I didn't want another Wally Pfister/Transcendence to happen. However, Molly's Game is a well-made, well-written film that is sharp and smart. Jessica Chastain is fierce as Molly Bloom and she was absolutely the right choice for her.

The Story, which is also a true story, is interesting. Details have leaked all over (that Ben Affleck, Tobey Maguire and Alexander Rodrigues were all regulars at her games), however the story kept things a little more anonymous. Somehow, someone thought to cast Michael Cera was one of the films villains (a Hollywood star who gets upset with how Molly runs her games and how large her tips are and threatens to end her), but weirdly I kind of loved it. (Rumor has it his character, which was called "Player X" in the film, is supposed to be based on Tobey Maguire, though Sorkin himself denies this).

This is a film that is very smart and it deserves more recognition than it's getting. Jessica Chastain does some great work here and Idris Elba (playing Molly's attorney) is also solid. However, it seems this film will not get much awards recognition aside from the screenplay category (though Chastain was nominated at the Globes she won't likely be nominated for an Oscar but she's in a close 6th or 7th).

8.5/10

The Disaster Artist

The Disaster Artist, 2017
Directed by James Franco

The Disaster Artist is the true story re-telling of the making of the movie The Room. The Room, since it's release in 2003, has become a cult classic for being an incredibly terrible movie. However, filmmaker Tommy Wiseau (writer, director, star and producer) and his best friend Greg Sestero didn't intend it to be so bad. But the drama behind the scenes makes for a compelling (and hilarious) film.

I'm going to keep this brief and basically just praise James Franco. This is some incredibly immersive work here and I wouldn't even be mad if he won Best Actor. Seriously. Franco as Wiseau is incredible to watch. He's able to embody Wiseau without making it a parody or disrespectful of the man. You can tell he was very passionate about this project and about getting Wiseau right. It's also an incredibly hilarious performance but it's by far his best performance I've seen from him.

The entire film itself walks that fine line of not making this film into a parody. Franco and the screenwriters Scott Neustadter and Michael H Weber balance everything so finely. They allow us to laugh at Wiseau and the drama behind his making of The Room, but not too much. And they leave us able to sympathize for this man and to feel his pain at being ridiculed. We've all been outsiders in our life, and this is the story about an insider trying to become an insider using his own (misguided) means.

The Disaster Artist is an incredibly smart, compelling and hilarious film about a young man wanting to make it in acting and the friend he meets in acting class who has the confidence but lacks the talent and them deciding to fund their own film after years of Hollywood rejection. Tommy is mysterious and has an ego and so the filmmaking experience becomes a nightmare. However, it lead to one of the biggest cult films in history. Definitely go check out this film if you have a chance. You will be astounded at how good James Franco is in this!

9/10

Golden Globe Film Nomination Predictions

It's that time of year again! Still three weeks left in the year and we're already getting our first set of big nominations. So far, 2017 has been an interesting year for film. By far, we don't really have any sort of frontrunners (at least for Best Picture), so a number of things could happen. There's also the political climate (including all the assault scandals currently happening) which could make for some interesting narratives. The first set of nominations is always tough, and I feel like my track record here is never too strong as the Globes like to do their own thing every so often so this is always a fun set of nominations.

Best Picture Drama

Dunkirk

Call Me By Your Name

Three Billboards Outside Ebbing, Missouri

The Post

The Shape of Water

Could Darkest Hour, Phantom Thread, Mudbound sneak in here? Possibly, but I think these 5 seem the most likely. 

Best Actress (Drama)

Frances McDormand (Three Billboards Outside Ebbing, Missouri)

Meryl Streep (The Post)

Sally Hawkins (The Shape of Water)

Jessica Chastain (Molly's Game)

Jennifer Lawrence (mother!)

Jessica and Jennifer have the benefit of Saoirse Ronan and Margot Robbie being in the Comedy category. We could see someone like Kate Winslet (Wonder Wheel), Gal Gadot (Wonder Woman) or even Julia Roberts (Wonder). However, The Globes really like Jennifer Lawrence so I'd be surprised if she missed here. 

Best Actor (Drama)

Gary Oldman (Darkest Hour)

Daniel Day-Lewis (Phantom Thread)

Timothee Chalamet (Call Me By Your Name)

Tom Hanks (The Post)

Jake Gyllenhaal (Stronger)

To be honest, this could very well be our Oscar lineup and I woudln't be surprised (maybe sub Hanks/Gyllenhaal for James Franco?) but these all seem like good bets. My only question would be Timothee Chalamet who at only 22 years old would make him one of the youngest nominees. Globes are a little less biased against young men in lead categories but I wonder if he could be snubbed. 

Best Film Comedy/Musical

Get Out

Lady Bird 

The Big Sick

I, Tonya

The Disaster Artist

Honestly, The Comedy/Musical lineup seems so much more interesting than the drama this year. Get Out, Lady Bird and the Big Sick are three of my favourite films so far this year. However, I could see Battle of the Sexes, Downsizing, Baby Driver or even Beauty and the Beast sneaking in here. 

Best Actress (Comedy/Musical)

Saoirse Ronan (Lady Bird)

Margot Robbie (I, Tonya)

Emma Stone (Battle of the Sexes)

Emma Watson (Beauty and the Beast)

Allison Williams (Get Out)

Allison Williams is my wild card pick. I debated between Judi Dench for Victoria & Abdul and Zoe Kazan for the Big Sick, but I wonder if the Globes might really like Get Out and could nominate it here. We'll see! 

Best Actor (Comedy/Musical)

James Franco (The Disaster Artist)

Kumail Nanjiani (The Big Sick)

Daniel Kaluuya (Get Out)

Steve Carell (Battle of the Sexes)

Tom Cruise (American Made)

Franco, Nanjiani and Kaluuya should be locked in here but the last 2 spots are a bit more wild. Watch out for Ansel Elgort, Matt Damon or even Adam Sandler here. 

Best Film Supporting Actress

Laurie Metcalf (Lady Bird)

Allison Janney (I, Tonya)

Holly Hunter (The Big Sick

Octavia Spencer (The Shape of Water)

Tiffany Haddish (Girls Trip)

Could Tiffany Haddish be preparing for a Melissa McCarthy in Bridesmaids type of awards run? We'll see! But she did win Supporting Actress with the New York film critics and was nominated at the Critics Choice awards so it's not out of the question. However, watch out for Mary J Blige in Mudbound or Hong Chau for Downsizing

Best Film Supporting Actor

Willem Dafoe (The Florida Project)

Sam Rockwell (Three Billboards Outside Ebbing, Missouri)

Armie Hammer (Call Me By Your Name)

Michael Stuhlbarg (Call Me By Your Name)

Idris Elba (Molly's Game)

Can both supporting men for CMBYN be nominated? That's the big question here. Idris Elba is also a bit of a wild card pick, but entirely possible. Watch out for Mark Rylance (Dunkirk) and Patrick Stewart (Logan)

Best Film Director

Christopher Nolan (Dunkirk)

Guillermo Del Toro (The Shape of Water)

Luca Guadagnino (Call Me By Your Name)

Greta Gerwig (Lady Bird)

Jordan Peele (Get Out)

To be honest, this feels so strongly like a 6 way race to me and I really, really want to see both minorites (Greta, a woman, and Peele, a black man) both getting in here. Nolan seems like a shoo-in for the win, Guadagnino has the critical acclaim, so I was battling between Del Toro and Spielberg for the last slot. I ended up with Del Toro purely because of its 14 BFCA nominations and the higher overall reviews. I could very well be wrong and we see either Peele or Gerwig snubbed here. 

Best Film Screenplay

Call Me By Your Name 

Get Out

Three Billboards Outside Ebbing, Missouri

Lady Bird

The Shape of Water

Watch out for The Big Sick, Molly's Game or The Post here, but this is what really deserves the nominations in my opinion. 

Best Animated Feature

Coco

Loving Vincent

The Lego Batman Movie

Ferdinand

The Breadwinner 

To be honest, I don't really have clue about this category. However, I'd watch out for Boss Baby or Despicable Me 3.